Surpluses
in sentence
590 examples of Surpluses in a sentence
Germany exports to the EU 30% more than it imports from it, and runs one of the world’s largest current-account
surpluses.
More recently, Clinton defended the economic mainstream against attack by conservative Republicans, who pushed for deep tax cuts that would undermine the fiscal
surpluses
of recent years.
China’s Vicious Growth CircleLONDON – Most economists have a reason to be worried about China’s economy – whether it be low consumption and large external surpluses, industrial overcapacity, environmental degradation, or government interventions like capital controls or financial repression.
Indeed, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Sweden, and Norway are all running
surpluses
that are larger as a proportion of GDP than Germany’s.
Moreover, their
surpluses
have been more persistent than those of Germany: ten years ago, Germany had a current-account deficit, while its linguistic kin were already running
surpluses
of a similar size as today.
Much of the facile policy advice provided to correct the German surplus seems misguided when one examines the persistent
surpluses
of this diverse group of countries.
Within the eurozone, the counterpart to the German
surpluses
used to be the deficits of the peripheral countries (mostly Spain, but also Portugal and Greece).
US President Donald Trump’s suggestion that these
surpluses
are a byproduct of unfair trade practices rings stridently hollow.
As of 2017, Austria, Denmark, Ireland, Japan, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, and Switzerland have substantial current-account surpluses, relative to their respective GDP.
When the same question was put to the US in its era of
surpluses
at the end of World War II, when the concern was a global shortage of dollars, it was dismissed unequivocally.
The US has recorded external
surpluses
in only three of the 38 years since 1980.
When commodity prices boomed in the middle of the last decade, the rule called for huge budget
surpluses
– which Chile achieved, repaying almost all of its public debt and accumulating a sizable rainy-day fund.
The Republicans under Bush have turned huge
surpluses
into terrifyingly large deficits.
So, while post-crisis Asia focused in the 2000’s on repairing the financial vulnerabilities that had wreaked such havoc – namely, by amassing huge foreign-exchange reserves, turning current-account deficits into surpluses, and reducing its outsize exposure to short-term capital inflows – it failed to rebalance its economy’s macro structure.
Much is made of Germany’s large current-account
surpluses.
But, just as the eurozone’s struggling economies have an overvalued currency, Germany has an undervalued one, which tends to produce external
surpluses
and, by definition, an excess of savings over investment.
There is no credible scenario in which Japan can generate fiscal
surpluses
large enough to repay its accumulated debt: a significant proportion will remain permanently on the Bank of Japan’s balance sheet.
An already far too high dollar would be pushed even higher as Asia seeks to resolve its employment problems by ever-larger trade
surpluses.
Rebalancing also involves a global demand switch from external-deficit countries to those running large current-account
surpluses.
Meanwhile, the eurozone core (Germany, the Netherlands, Austria, and France) comprised the producers of first and last resort, spending below their incomes and running ever-larger current-account
surpluses.
Unit labor costs fell in Germany and other parts of the core (as wage growth lagged that of productivity), leading to a real depreciation and rising current-account surpluses, while the reverse occurred in the PIIGS (and Cyprus), leading to real appreciation and widening current-account deficits.
This implies significant easing of monetary policy by the European Central Bank; provision of unlimited lender-of-last-resort support to illiquid but potentially solvent economies; a sharp depreciation of the euro, which would turn current-account deficits into surpluses; and fiscal stimulus in the core if the periphery is forced into austerity.
But, with current-account surpluses, renationalization of banking, by limiting the international transmission of financial shocks, can be a stabilizing force.
For the ASEAN-5, current-account deficits averaging 4% of GDP in 1996-97 swung dramatically into average
surpluses
of 6.8% of GDP in 1998-99.
As Trump berates Germany for accumulating
surpluses
without contributing sufficiently to transatlantic defense, the country should be all the more motivated to use its capabilities to strengthen Europe.
Capital-account surpluses, mirrored in current-account deficits, summed to about $3.3 trillion from 2010 to 2017, compared to an $8 trillion aggregate federal deficit.
They reduced inflation, floated their currencies, ran external
surpluses
or small deficits, and, most importantly, accumulated mountains of foreign reserves (which now comfortably exceed their short-term external debts).
There are large current-account
surpluses
among emerging markets (a big change from 1997, when most emerging markets had deficits).
Indeed, several large oil exporters and Asian manufacturing exporters will have sizable
surpluses
for as long as we can forecast.
Absent the willingness of large developing countries to run trade
surpluses
and high savings rates relative to investment, the asset bubble in the US – leading to a rise in domestic consumption and a fall in the savings rate – would have triggered inflation and higher interest rates.
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