Forecast
in sentence
463 examples of Forecast in a sentence
We might read that the average
forecast
of 20 different forecasters is 2.8%, with the five highest forecasts above 3.2% and the five lowest forecasts below 2.5%.
While it would be rash to
forecast
a double dip as the most likely outcome for the economy during the rest of this year, many of us are raising the odds that we attribute to such a downturn.
Indeed, it was precisely this logic that me led to give a very dark
forecast
in a widely covered speech in Singapore on August 19, 2008, a month before Lehman Brothers failed.
How much trouble will ultimately depend on factors that are very hard to forecast, including markets’ responses to Fed tightening and political shocks (say, the scandal enveloping Petrobras in Brazil) that shake investors’ faith in local policies and markets.
But their
forecast
that it would come within 30,000 kilometers of our planet in 2029 (closer than some geostationary communications satellites, as well as the Moon) is more likely to please astronomers than international security experts.
That forecast, moreover, is based on quite optimistic assumptions of strong economic growth and low interest rates.
To be sure, economic data released since the referendum suggest bullishness in the manufacturing sector, and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research recently
forecast
that the UK’s balance of payments could achieve a small surplus by 2019.
Both GDP and industrial production fell by 5% in 1998, and the IMF
forecast
a further decline in GDP of 9% in 1999.
As a result, France has had chronic long-term unemployment –
forecast
to reach 10.5% by 2013 – for many years.
The attacks came at a time when the world traditionally tries to make sense of the year ahead – to
forecast
the risks that lie in wait, the opportunities that will arise, and the challenges that will have to be overcome.
The International Monetary Fund’s latest
forecast
suggests that the surplus will hold at around 2% of GDP in 2014.
In fact, according to a
forecast
in 2002 by the United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO), global food production will exceed the needs of the global population by the year 2030, largely owing to the Green Revolution of the past half-century.
Of the top ten occupational categories that account for 29% of all
forecast
job creation, only two – registered nurses and operational managers – pay more, on average, than US median earnings, while most of the other eight pay far less.
The region’s main economies recorded slower GDP growth in 2013, and much the same is being
forecast
for 2014.
His
forecast
was correct, of course, with a month to spare.
And the FOMC members’ own median
forecast
puts inflation at 1.8% in 2017 and 2% in 2018.
The authorities must therefore consider the possibility that the upbeat
forecast
could be masking a more turbulent future.
First, the projected fiscal multipliers – the amount by which GNP will fall as a result of each dollar of fiscal contraction – used for the GNP
forecast
assume that a contraction of one dollar in the primary fiscal deficit will be associated with a $1.34 contraction of GNP.
But the
forecast
proved to be far too optimistic.
The
forecast
errors have three potential sources: failure to recognize the time needed for economic recovery after a financial crisis; underestimation of the “fiscal multipliers” (the size of output loss owing to fiscal austerity); and neglect of the “world-trade multiplier” (the tendency for countries to drag each other down as their economies contract).
The April 2010 report
forecast
a US growth rate of roughly 2.5% annually in 2012-2013; current projections put the rate a little higher than 2%.
The April 2010 WEO
forecast
a UK annual growth rate of nearly 3% in 2012-2013; instead, GDP is likely to contract this year and increase by roughly 1% next year.
In particular, as European imports from East Asia have fallen, East Asian economies’ growth is down sharply from last year and the 2010
forecast
– and, predictably, growth in their imports from the rest of the world has lost momentum.
Although growth was expected to slow subsequently, it was
forecast
at roughly 2% in 2012-2013.
But, as Chinese growth has decelerated – owing partly to decreased exports to Europe – the German GDP
forecast
has been halved.
China’s 12th Five-Year Plan lowers the growth
forecast
(to 7%) to create “space” to deal with issues like equity, sustainability, and the environment.
Given the ongoing economic slowdown, which is leading many to
forecast
an imminent hard landing, China’s leaders will be closely monitoring disgruntled social groups and the increasingly vocal, politically conscious intelligentsia.
There are two possible reasons for the discrepancy between
forecast
and outcome.
And, according to the World Bank’s forecast, Vietnam, along with Cambodia and Laos, is on track to maintain a similar level of growth for the year.
During an economic expansion, such as in the 2002-2007 period, governments are tempted to
forecast
that the boom will continue indefinitely.
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